Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Super Tuesday

I've been sick the last four or five days so I spent a lot of time following commentary on Super Tuesday, the lead-up, the aftermath. It's really striking how far off the MSM seems to me to be.

First, their polls are useless though polls used to be quite accurate.

Second, their comments are almost uninformed. For instance today there's talk about offering Obama, the VP in Hilary's administration - as if that were some kind of prize. "Ok, boy, you run quite a little race there so here's this valuable (!?) prize." As if Obama were some kind of idiot and would value the VP position. Anyhow we all know what happens to people around the Clinton's. But what's really amazing is that Obama is ahead in delegates chosen by the people - so the DEM party leaders and the MSM thinks HE should accept the VP position!

I think his strategy is pretty plain. He intends to go to the convention ahead in numbers of delegates won in regular elections. And he says: "I won", simple as that.

And if the super delegates say "we can and will put Hilary in anyhow" then the party has taken the nomination from him. He has caused great numbers of people to sign up as Democrats - the Dems now have no future without him so the Dems won't want to take the nomination from him. (After all he won in the South without giving out walking around money - how can the Dems give up all those excited voters?) So the Dems are now trying to offer him something to keep him happy, ie you can be president after being VP under the Clintons (like Al Gore). He won't take up that ridiculous offer. Really they have nothing to offer him - he wants to be president.

I can't say how it will work out but maybe Hilary or Bill could be his VP. Or the Dems might have a floor fight with delegates breaking away. If the vote came after Obama spoke, then I think he would win. If he didn't win he would soon find out what Bilary did, who they bought and how, and he would not let it pass, so that takes the Dems back to the party being seen as taking the nomination from him. So what will they do? Tune in next August for the wildest convention of our lifetime.

I would never support a cut-and-run pro-abortion candidate but I feel the tug Barack Obama exerts. He and Hilary are exactly the same in positions. But he would like to unite the country while she would like to destroy it. (Moving about, madly biting Republicans, demanding donations, Bill raping young interns) I think, because the Senator was raised in Hawaii he was raised in a society that has gone beyond race divisions as they are known in other parts of the country. And he wants to move back there (to Hawaii) with all the rest of us. And his vision is very real because it exists in Hawaii right now and consequently when he speaks he makes "hope for unity" very real which is very appealing to the rest of us.

But I'm not sure either will win. Both want to raise taxes but people are paying staggering amounts for gas. It's like a tax increase already. Then both want to mandate insurance premiums. Lots of people can't afford this together with the gas increase but the they are going to "mandate" it. (Close your eyes and say to yourself - I mandate myself to have more money in my wallet and I want the government to have it. The government can have all my "mandate" money.)

Then Barack/Hilary want health care to be the issue - but isn't transportation the issue? I mean, to me all the extra gas-tax money ought to be going into transportation systems. Instead somehow Virginia can't afford a light rail extension to my area. What are we supposed to do - move back to the city to anthill apartments crowded around subway exits? This kind of thing, which they are not dealing with, will catch up with Barack/Hilary

And then, if we cut and run from Iraq and it destabilizes, gas prices will go higher. What will people think when they realise that? If the Dems try to opt out of the war on terror, gas prices will go up yet again. Then what? And, whichever the candidate, the Dems will try to say that we're rich and can pay more taxes, just as everyone is struggling. I feel the Dems won't win in November because they haven't really caught up on what the gas price increases mean to the average person. I think smaller, leaner government - government focused on governmental issues like defence, not nanny statism - will be getting more and more popular as the year goes on.

But one of them might win. Obviously a Barack Obama interested in unity would deal with the situation better than Hilary should one of them get to the White House. It won't put gas in anyone's tank to have BDS syndrome then.

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